The Fis4FF Deep Dive Series is where I go into depth about all 32 NFL teams from a fantasy football perspective. Here, I will discuss each team in depth in each division, in each conference. 

The 1st conference in this series is the AFC East!

NOTE: Final Projections will be released in September

Opening Thoughts

It seems that every team in the AFC East had some high hopes and expectations in some way, and all of them ended disappointingly. The Patriots were looking to have third-year quarterback Mac Jones bounce back to his good rookie season, and without Matt Patricia as the offensive coordinator, maybe sneak their way into the wild card. Instead, the New England Patriots are coming off one of the most embarrassing seasons in franchise history. 

The other three teams in the Jets, Bills and Dolphins all had high Super Bowl expectations. However, none of that panned out. Instead, the Jets season was over before it started, with newly-acquired quarterback Aaron Rodgers tearing his achilles minutes into the first game of the season. 

The Dolphins were expected to build on last season with head coach and offensive mind Mike McDaniel. However, after a hot start as one of the NFL’s best, skidded towards the end of the season, losing the AFC East (and thus home field advantage) in week 18 and losing to the Kansas City Chiefs in the first round.

The Bills, with an older roster, were looking to capitalize on their talented team and make a push to a Super Bowl. Instead, they got off to a very rocky 5-5 start, with a considerable possibility of missing the playoffs altogether in a loaded AFC. However, they stepped up their game after firing former OC Ken Dorsey and finished 6-2 the rest of the way. However, once again, they lost a close game in the divisional round to AFC-rival Kansas City. 

For the 2024-25 season, things have slightly changed. The Patriots are at the beginning of a rebuild and are projected to be one of the worst teams in the league. The Dolphins and Bills are expected to be formidable opponents, but both rosters lost significant talent on the offensive side. And the Jets are quite literally banking on a 40-year old Aaron Rodgers coming off an achilles injury. 

Discussing Last Season

From a fantasy perspective, the New England Patriots were not good. Their offense scored a league-low 13.9 points per game, tied for worst in the league with Carolina. While there was hope for Mac Jones, instead he was worse and was often benched for backup Bailey Zappe. The two combined for a measly 3,392 passing yards with 16 touchdowns and 21 interceptions. They were easily one of the most boring teams to watch and fantasy-wise, they did not bring much positivity. On top of that, their skill group brought a lack of fantasy relevance, with their most consistent and highest-ranking fantasy asset being Ezekiel Elliott, who was the overall RB7 from weeks 13-17 after Rhamondre Stevenson suffered a high ankle sprain. Elliott finished as the RB30 in PPR. 

The Jets had a tumultuous season which began in week 1 when Aaron Rodgers suffered an Achilles tear. Despite a dominant defense, the team could not be lifted thanks in part due to poor offensive line and quarterback Zach Wilson. It seems that they could never get a consistent rhythm going, scoring only 15.8 points a game (29th in the NFL). Despite this, there were two bright spots on this team in Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. Wilson flashed times of brilliance in his 2nd year, finishing with 1,042 receiving yards. According to Reception Perception, Wilson was one of the best receivers when facing man and press coverages, posting a 96th and 93rd percentile, respectively. It is clear from NFL fans and the fantasy community that Wilson is on the edge of an elite breakout. 

Breece Hall, on the other hand, cemented himself as one of the best true running backs in the league. Despite an oft injured and porous O-Line, Hall finished with nearly 1,000 yards on the ground and 5 TDs. Where he shined is his advanced statistics, where he was 4th in yards after contact (490) and 10th in broken tackles (19). On top of his rushing prowess, he also grabbed 76 receptions for 591 receiving yards and 4 TDs, finishing as the RB6 in points per game. 

While the Dolphins season ended in disappointing fashion, it was clear from the beginning that they were easily one of the NFLs best offenses, scoring 29.2 points per game (2nd in the NFL). On top of that, there was massive fantasy impact across the board. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa led the league in passing yards and carried 29 to 14 TD:INT ratio, finishing as the QB9 overall. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill was one of the best fantasy assets you could have, finishing with 1,799 receiving yards and 13 TDs. Had it not been for an ankle injury against the Titans in week 14, which caused him to miss the week 15 game against the Jets, it’s quite possible we would have witnessed the best wide receiver season of all time. Hill was on pace for over 2,000 yards and was unstoppable, finishing as the WR2 overall in PPR scoring. Teammate Jaylen Waddle battled through injuries and inconsistencies throughout the year, but finished with 1,014 yards and 4 TDs. 

Where the Dolphins really shined and surprised many was through their run game. Raheem Mostert, the current oldest RB in the league, surprised fantasy managers everywhere with his consistent down to down work in the passing and running game. Mostert finished as the RB6 in PPR scoring, with a total 21 touchdowns (18 on the ground and 3 through the air). The other surprise was rookie back Devon Achane. While he missed the first game of the season and barely played week 2, it was week 3 versus Denver where he truly broke out. In that game where the Broncos scored 70 total points, Achane finished with 203 rushing yards, 30 receiving yards and 4 total TDs. He also finished with 27.5 and 21.1 PPR points in week 4 and week 5 before leaving on the IR for the next 4 weeks. 

The Bills had a very inconsistent up and down season, often losing to teams that they were very much better than. After losing to the Broncos in week 10, the Bills fired OC Ken Dorsey and hired Joe Brady as their new OC. And as a result, they were a better overall team, but much different for fantasy owners. 

To start, Josh Allen was well, Josh Allen. While he did have 18 interceptions this season (2nd most in the league), he overcame that with his 15 total rushing TDs. He was effectively their goal line back, finishing as the QB1 overall for a third straight year. 

Running back James Cook in his 2nd year, was finally able to break out in a big way. He finished as the RB12 overall in PPR, with 1,122 yards on the ground and 445 receiving yards and 6 total touchdowns. He was a consistent back, who looks to retain that role into next season. 

Where the Dorsey firing really affected things was with the receiver room. With new OC Joe Brady, the Bills really focused on becoming a better running team, and there was less of an emphasis on throwing it deep. And that starts with Stefon Diggs, where it truly was a season of two halves. In weeks 1-10, Diggs was the WR4 overall in PPR. Weeks 11-18? The WR42. While he finished as the overall WR9 in PPR scoring, Diggs final half was a sight to behold and a huge disappointment for fantasy owners. 

Wide receiver Gabe Davis finished as the WR41 overall and rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid finished as the TE11. 

Key Additions and Departures

New England Additions 

Jacoby Brissett, QB (former Washington Commander signed in FA)

Drake Maye, QB (selected with the 3rd pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft) 

Antonio Gibson, RB (former Washington Commander signed in FA)

Ja’Lynn Polk, WR (selected with the 37th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Javon Baker, WR (selected with the 110th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

KJ Osborn, WR (former Minnesota Viking signed in FA)

New England Departures

Mac Jones, QB (traded to the Jacksonville Jaguars)

Ezekiel Elliott, RB (signed to the Dallas Cowboys in FA)

Mike Gesicki, TE (signed to the Cincinnati Bengals in FA)

Bill O’Brien, OC (became new HC for Boston College)

Bill Belichick, HC 

New York Additions 

Jordan Travis, QB (selected with the 171st pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Tyrod Taylor, QB (former New York Giant signed in FA)

Braelon Allen, RB (selected with the 134th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Isaiah Davis, RB (selected with the 173rd pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Mike Williams, WR (former Los Angeles Charger signed in FA)

Malachi Corley, WR (selected with the 65th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Olumuyiwa Fashanu, OL (selected with the 11th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Morgan Moses, OL (former Baltimore Raven signed in FA)

Tyron Smith, OL (former Dallas Cowboy signed in FA)

New York Departures

Zach Wilson, QB (traded to the Denver Broncos)

CJ Uzomah, TE (signed with the Philadelphia Eagles in FA)

Miami Additions 

Jaylen Wright, RB (selected with the 120th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Odell Beckham Jr., WR (former Baltimore Raven signed in FA)

Malik Washington, WR (selected with the 184th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Tahj Washington, WR (selected with the 241st pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Jonnu Smith, TE (former Atlanta Falcon signed in FA)

Miami Departures 

Robert Hunt, OL (signed with the Carolina Panthers in FA)

Buffalo Additions 

Ray Davis, RB (selected with the 128th pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Keon Coleman, WR (selected with the 33rd pick in the ‘24 NFL Draft)

Curtis Samuel, WR (former Washington Commander signed in FA)

Mack Hollins, WR (former Atlanta Falcon signed in FA)

Buffalo Departures 

Damien Harris, RB (retired from the NFL)

Latavius Murray, RB (currently a FA)

Stefon Diggs, WR (traded to Houston Texans in FA)

Gabe Davis, WR (signed to Jacksonville Jaguars in FA)

Key Players / My Personal Tiered Rankings 

Each relevant fantasy player on this team will be discussed in depth, separated by must draft players, solid players to have, deep sleepers and players to avoid. Some teams may have more fantasy starters than others, some may have less. I will also discuss if they are a current value or if they are someone who is going too high at their ADP.

Tier I: Must Draft Players 

New England 

Rhamondre Stevenson (RB19, ADP 68)

2023 Stats:

• Rush: 156 Att., 619 Yards, 4 TDs
• Receiving: 51 Targets, 38 Rec., 238 Yards, 1 TD) (RB35 Finish – 12 Games)

2024 Projections: Rush: 194 Att., 783 Yds, 5.5 TDs – Rec: 46 Rec., 318 Yds, 0.5 TDs

• Rhamondre Stevenson was poised to have a breakout year in 2023, as he was widely regarded as a high-end RB2. However, behind a poor offensive cast and system and a shaky O-Line, Stevenson ended up being a disappointment, finishing as the RB35 in PPR. However, what the counting stats do not show is that between weeks 9 and 13, Rhamondre performed admirably better (13^th in missed tackles forced and 3^rd in yards after contact per attempt), as compared to the first eight weeks (33^rd in missed tackles forced and 38^th and yards after contact per attempt), before exiting the season in week 13 with a high ankle sprain.
• Stevenson’s current rushing line is a joke. I fully expect Stevenson to get the majority of the goal line work and potentially have a 1,000 yard rushing season. It seems that the Patriots are all currently priced like the offense they were last year. Maybe it’s just personal bias, but I FULLY expect for the Patriots to be a significant bounce back team next year. They had bottom three QB play and could not do anything on offense.
• If you’re still hesitating about Rhamondre, just remember that he just recently signed a four-year extension to stay with the team. The Patriots clearly believe in him and so should you.

New York 

Breece Hall (RB2, ADP 5)

2023 Stats: 

• Rush: 223 Att., 994 Yds., 5 TDs
• Receiving: 95 Targets, 76 Rec., 591 Yards, 4 TDs (RB2 Finish)

2024 Projections: Rush: 228 Att., 999 Yds, 8.4 TDs – Rec: 72 Rec., 601 Yds., 5.3 TDs

• Despite a poor and oft-injured offensive line and a lacking passing attack, Hall cemented himself as one of the best running backs in the league. After tearing his ACL in his rookie year, he proved all doubters wrong and looked as explosive as ever. 
• Hall is one of the few three-down workhorse backs in the league with no true competition in sight. While I believe he benefited in the pass game due to the Rodgers injury, I believe his current rushing line is way too low. He is very worth his first round ADP. 

Garrett Wilson (WR8, ADP 11)

2023 Stats: 168 Targets, 95 Receptions, 1,042 Yards, 3 TDs (WR26 Finish)

2024 Projections: 91 Rec., 1,174 Yards, 8.1 TDs

• Garrett Wilson is a breakout waiting to happen. No one doubts the talent that Wilson has. The issue is that the past two years he has had some of the worst and most inconsistent QB play in the league. He is excellent when facing man and press coverage and has the 3rd most targets and 8th most receptions in a player’s first two NFL seasons. 
• The issue is not him, but if fantasy managers can trust Rodgers coming off a torn Achilles. If we could promise Aaron Rodgers to be fully healthy, I guarantee Wilson would likely be ranked as a top 3 overall WR. However, while there is a fear of injury with Aaron Rodgers, the Jets did a good job at signing competent backup QB play in Tyrod Taylor and rookie Jordan Travis. I will take the chance on the talent at the end of the first round. If Rodgers stays healthy, he will very likely crush his ADP.

Miami 

Tyreek Hill (WR2, ADP 3)

2023 Stats: 171 Targets, 119 Receptions, 1,799 Yards, 13 TDs (WR2 Finish – 16 Games)

2024 Projections: 107 Rec., 1,484 Yards, 9.3 TDs 

• There’s not much to be said about Tyreek Hill. He is a top 3 receiver in the league. He never had a game under double digit fantasy points in 2023. He was on pace for 2,000 yards before an ankle injury against Tennessee took him out. He played not at 100% after and it was clear he wasn’t the same. Regardless, amongst a complex high-pace offense, he is the clear focal point. And I do not believe that to change any time soon. 
• While he may experience some touchdown regression, you can expect consistency with high boom weeks in between. He is easily worth a top 3 pick and you should be thankful to draft him in 2024.

Jaylen Waddle (WR19, ADP30)

2023 Stats: 104 Targets, 72 Receptions, 1,014 Yards, 4 TDs (WR34 Finish – 14 Games)

2024 Projections: 79 Rec., 1,078 Yards, 5.3 TDs 

• Waddle had a very weird season. If you look at it from a general view, you see 1,000 yards and think of a good season. However, Waddle’s season was rife with injuries and very boom or bust weeks with very little consistency. He had a Calvin Ridleye-esque season. 
• The hope is that Waddle will be featured more in a consistent role. In one of the best offenses with a lot of mouths to feed, that can be difficult. However, there is no doubt from the Dolphins that Waddle is a key piece of this team for the foreseeable future, signing him to a 3/$84.75MM extension. If you are still worried about Waddle, ask yourself this question: do you believe that the Dolphins RBs will score nearly 30 TDs again or that Waddle will have more than 4 this season? 

De’Von Achane (RB8, ADP 20)

2023 Stats: 

• Rush: 103 Att., 800 Yds., 8 TDs
• Rec: 37 Targets, 27 Receptions, 197 Yards, 3 TDs (RB24 Finish – 11 Games)

2024 Projections: 160 Att., 868 Yds., 7.9 TDs, 45 Rec., 352 Rec. Yds., 3.7 Rec. TDs.

• De’Von Achane broke out with one of the most efficient seasons of all time, averaging 7.8 YPC. However, an injury took him out, which caused him to miss time on the IR. Nevertheless, Achane is seen by many as a guy who could break fantasy with the help of a perfect offensive fit with the Miami Dolphins. 
• In my opinion, Achane is one of the hardest players to rank for fantasy. On one hand, he is in a perfect offensive system, the Dolphins will find ways to get him the ball, and he does not even need to be a bellcow RB in order to pay off his ADP. However, can we trust him to stay away from injuries? He had an uber-efficient season last year, can he repeat? How much of a role does Raheem Mostert play this year? Will he get more consistent goal line work? It’s a valid concern for someone going in the second round of drafts. Achane is truly a tough player to rank. If you fade him and he balls out, you look like a fool, but if you draft him and he’s a bust, you’ll also look like a fool. I really believe he has a high range of outcomes.
• Where I land is that you should draft him. If you look at his line, it’s not ridiculous. He doesn’t need a 1,300 yard season to pay off his ADP, but that is in his range of outcomes. Add that coach Mike McDaniel says that he seeks to get Achane used more in passing down work and you have an argument for an all around guy. 
• While there are valid concerns, I think the upside is too high to pass up. He doesn’t need a full workload to surpass his ADP and if he can stay healthy, he can be of huge value to you. 

Buffalo 

Josh Allen (QB1, ADP 17)

2023 Stats: 385/579 (66.5%), 4,306 Pass Yds., 29 TDs, 18 INTs, 524 Rush Yds., 15 Rush TDs (QB1 Finish)

2024 Projections: 3,780 Pass Yds., 27 TDs., 14 INTs, 564 Rush Yds., 9.3 TDs 

• Josh Allen was once again, the top quarterback from a fantasy perspective. He threw for 4,300 yards and 29 passing TDs, to go along with 15 rushing TDs. Effectively, Josh Allen is their goal line back through and through and that will not be changing any time soon.
• While I have Josh Allen ranked as a top 3 QB this season, I believe his ADP is a bit rich. First, it’s very likely he will not have 15 touchdowns this season. Add that to his receiving core being worse this season with the loss of Stefon Diggs. I do believe this Bills team will be more balanced this year in terms of scheme. So while I have no issue with anyone drafting Josh Allen and his immense talent, I think the QB class this season is great and you can get a top 12 QB in the 7th and 8th rounds of drafts. I prefer to grab high end skill positions early and grab Dak Prescott, Jordan Love or Kyler Murray in the 7th. 

James Cook (RB14 – ADP 47)

2023 Stats: 237 Att., 1,122 Rush Yds., 2 TDs, 44 Rec., 445 Rec. Yds., 4 TDs (RB12 Finish)

2024 Projections: 239 Att., 1,063 Rush Yds., 4.7 TDs, 45 Rec., 389 Rec. Yds., 2.7 TDs

• James Cook broke out in a big way with 1,100 yards on the ground to go along with 44 receptions and 450 receiving yards. Between the 20s, he was the guy and it was not close. The problem? The Bills almost NEVER used him on the goal line. For fantasy managers, it was quite frustrating. 
• I believe that this will be Cook’s fate heading into the 2024 season. He will be the main guy and with vacated targets from Diggs and Davis, he may see more targets this season. Add that Damien Harris and Latavius Murray are gone, and we are looking at a fringe RB1/low-end RB2 that you can get in the 3rd to 4th round of drafts. However, I still do not expect him to get goal line work. I fully expect Josh Allen to be the guy, with rookie Ray Davis, the running back from Kentucky who can earn time at the goal line. He is a full buy for me, but you must know that he will likely have a low TD rate.

Dalton Kincaid (TE5, ADP 52)

2023 Stats: 91 Targets, 73 Rec., 673 Yds., 2 TDs (TE11 Finish)

2024 Projections: 80 Rec., 780 Rec. Yds., 5 TDs 

• Dalton Kincaid was often stuck behind TE Dawson Knox last season until he left with a wrist injury in week 5. He finally broke out in week 7 and from weeks 7 thru 11, he was the TE3 overall. 
• I think Kincaid is a future star. Coming into year 2 with chemistry from Josh Allen and Diggs and Davis leaving behind 241 targets, I believe Kincaid will be this team’s top target earner. Expect a breakout season. In most drafts, he’s going in the 5th round. Target him while you can. 

Tier II: Solid Players to Have/Players at Great Value

New England 

Demario Douglas (WR71, ADP 175)

2023 Stats: 79 Targets, 49 Rec., 561 Yds., 0 TDs, (WR64 Finish – 14 Games)

2024 Projections: 61 Rec., 764 Yds., 3.1 TDs

• Douglas could legitimately have the most receiving yards on this team. If you had Douglas last season, he had some solid outings when you had bye weeks or needed a receiver in a pinch.
• While he probably won’t be a WR1, he can be a WR3 with WR2 weeks with some positive touchdown regression. I fully expect Douglas to be a reliable receiver for both Brissett and Maye, who will catch passes in the short to intermediate game. With a better Patriots attack, his current ADP is a huge value

New York 

Aaron Rodgers (QB20, ADP 119)

2023 Stats: N/A

2024 Projections: 3,762 Pass Yds., 26 TDs, 9.5 INTs

• Aaron Rodgers played a total of four snaps in 2023, before missing the rest of the season. While he is said to be fully healthy, there is cause for concern for a 40-year old Aaron Rodgers coming off a torn Achilles. I completely understand if fantasy managers are fading the Jets passing attack. It seems tough to trust the Jets successes on a 40-year old QB coming back from a season-long injury. 
• However, I do have more hope for Rodgers. I think he’s a great value right now for fantasy and is worth the upside, he clearly has a great chemistry with WR Garrett Wilson, and the Jets did an admirable job of signing offensive linemen in FA (Tyron Smith, Morgan Moses) and used their 11th pick in the draft to select Olu Fashanu from Penn State. He is a solid QB2 to have, who can provide QB1 weeks. 

Miami 

Raheem Mostert (RB31, ADP 93)

2023 Stats: 209 Att., 1,012 Rush Yds., 18 TDs, 25 Rec., 175 Rec. Yds., 3 TDs (RB5 Finish)

2024 Projections: 175 Att., 817 Rush Yds., 9.9 TDs, 26 Rec., 176 Rec. Yds. 2.1 TDs 

• Mostert was a fantasy hero last season, scoring 21 touchdowns for fantasy owners. He stayed healthy all the way until the end of the season. Mostert did suffer an injury during the fantasy championships, which was a disappointing end to an amazing season. 
• The question now is how much can we trust Mostert in 2024? We know that he’s likely not going to have 20+ touchdowns, but he is not just going to fall off. Right now, Mostert is going to have a carved out role in this offense, and while we don’t know snap share or how much they will lean Achane on a down to down basis, Mostert is a value in the 8th round for a guy that can act as a low-end RB2 with RB1, multiple touchdown upside.

Tua Tagovailoa (QB15, ADP 97)

2023 Stats: 388/560 (69.3%), 4,624 Pass Yds., 29 TDs, 14 INTs (QB9 Finish)

2024 Projections: 4,166 Pass Yds, 26 TDs, 13 INTs

• Many in the fantasy community are fading Tua. This is due to the fact that while he led the league in passing yards, he only finished as the QB9 overall and the QB20 in points per game. Add that to the fact that he does not play well out of structure and with changes in the OL, there are some valid concerns. 
• However despite this, I am in on Tua as a backup QB for your fantasy teams. He provides a lot of high boom weeks in a high powered offense. I also want to note that the same people who are out on Tua are the ones who are in Jaylen Waddle scoring more TDs. That cannot happen unless Tua throws the ball more. 

Tier III: Deep Sleepers/Players I’d Draft if Their ADP Fell

New England

Ja’Lynn Polk, Drake Maye, Jacoby Brissett, Antonio Gibson, Hunter Henry 

• The person I want to highlight here is incoming rookie Ja’Lynn Polk. For some reason, there’s a sense of “this guy is going to be really good”. He reminds me a lot of Robert Woods, a tough and reliable catcher who can catch balls in the short and intermediate game consistently. I would gladly take a flier on this guy in the last round of drafts. If you are looking for upside, he is your guy. 
• I also think the Patriots in general are priced at a value. I would target a guy like Gibson as the pass catcher and third down backup for the Patriots. 

New York 

Mike Williams

• As a Mike Williams fan, this hurts me. But the truth is that he is an often-injured wide receiver recovering from a torn ACL. He’s also 30. He will be this team’s WR2 behind Wilson, but as to how much you can trust him is yet to be seen. I tend to stay away from guys who are coming off season-ending injuries, but if Big Mike falls to a certain range, I might press the draft button.

Miami

N/A

Buffalo 

Keon Coleman, Curtis Samuel, Khalil Shakir 

• It’s currently up for debate who will step up in the midst of the vacated targets left by Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis. Will it be Shakir, a third year guy who was better than Diggs from week 11 on? Or Keon Coleman, the 33rd pick in the draft? Or an established veteran receiver in Curtis Samuel?
• If I had to bet on one to draft, I’d put my chances on Khalil Shakir. He has experience in this offense, and while he held a 51% snap share throughout the season, he was trusted more and more the latter half of the season. 

Tier IV: Avoid at all Costs/Likely to Not Be Relevant 

New England 

Javon Baker, Kendrick Bourne, Juju-Smith Schuster, Kayshon Boutte, Tyquan Thornton 

• Despite my belief that the Patriots are a value team in fantasy, they are still not a great team. Half of these guys will likely not make the 53-man roster, nor do I believe these guys to make a huge fantasy impact.

New York 

Allen Lazard, Malachi Corley, Xavier Gipson, Braelon Allen, Israel Abanikanda, Tyrod Taylor

• Similar to New England, I don’t expect any of these guys to make massive fantasy impacts. Neither of the RBs are taking Hall’s spot or touches any time soon and guys like Lazard, Corley and Gipson are solely role players with a lack of consistency. 

Miami 

Odell Beckham, Jr., Jeff Wilson, Jaylen Wright 

• OBJ is still a solid WR, but he would likely be the 5th option in a crowded offense. Maybe that gets some value here and there, but nothing I would want to draft. Wilson and Wright are in a crowded RB room, so touches will be a premium.

Buffalo 

Dawson Knox, Ray Davis, Mack Hollins, Marquez Valdes-Scantling 

• Despite the Bills restructuring Knox’s contract, I do believe Kincaid is the leader of the TE room. I also do not trust Davis or any of the WRs listed here for consistency. I would rather grab a high upside guy in later rounds that could make something happen later on in the season.

Projected Win Total

Patriots: O/U 4.5 – OVER 

Jets: O/U 9.5 – 9-10 wins seems right (would avoid as a bet)

Dolphins: O/U 9.5 – OVER

BUF: O/U 10.5 – UNDER

• I think this will be a competitive AFC East. While the Patriots will likely not make the playoffs or win the East, I do believe they can play spoiler. The Jets, Dolphins and Bills will be vying for the East title and as of right now, I trust the Dolphins will win the East after a disappointing finish in 2023. 

Summary

• The AFC East has a ton of guys that will bring about not only consistency, but truly league-winning upside. I like multiple players on each team and am excited to see what the 2024 season gives us. Happy drafting!