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NFL Start/Sit Decisions: Week 4

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  • Post last modified:October 10, 2024

Week 3 is in the books and while teams start to settle in, I think we can all agree on one thing: THE TIGHT END POSITION SUCKS. What also sucks this season is offense in general. Here’s a fun stat: 

Teams today are averaging 21.4 points per game, the lowest since 2006. And passing yard totals this season are at around 193 yards per game, some of the lowest since 1992. Many theories have come up as to why offense is down, including poor O-Line play and depth, the lack of elite level quarterbacks, defenses getting smarter and most notably, two-high safeties, which seek to take away big plays and force offenses to beat defenses another way.

With this in mind, passing offense has suffered, but it has meant a resurgence to the running back position. If we were to do a re-draft after week three, I guarantee there would be more running backs taken in the first over receivers. 

It is tough, but it looks like we’ll have to temper some of our expectations in the passing game, which will reflect in every week of start/sit. Speaking of start/sit, let’s get back to my week 4 start/sit decisions! 

Week 3 W-L Record: 7-9 AGAIN

Overall W-L Record: 26-22

Thursday, September 26th 

Dallas (-5.5) at New York 

O/U: 44.5

Jakar’s Pick: Dallas (25-21)

DallasStart/SitNew YorkStart/Sit
Dak PrescottSTARTDaniel JonesSIT
Rico DowdleSITDevin SingletarySTART
Ezekiel ElliottSITMalik NabersSTART
Ceedee LambSTARTWanDale RobinsonSIT
Brandin CooksSITDarius SlaytonSIT
Jalen TolbertSITJalin HyattSIT
Jake FergusonSTARTTheo JohnsonSIT

Sunday, September 29th 

New Orleans at Atlanta (-2.5) 

O/U: 42.5

Jakar’s Pick: New Orleans (21-19)

New OrleansStart/SitAtlantaStart/Sit
Derek CarrSTARTKirk CousinsSIT
Jamaal WilliamsSITBijan RobinsonSTART
Chris OlaveSTARTTyler AllgeierSIT
Rashid ShaheedSTARTDrake LondonSTART
Juwan JohnsonSITDarnell MooneySIT
Taysom HillSITKyle PittsSIT

Los Angeles at Chicago (-3) 

O/U: 41.5

Jakar’s Pick: Los Angeles (24-21)

Los AngelesStart/SitChicagoStart/Sit
Matthew StaffordSITCaleb WilliamsSIT
Kyren WIlliamsSTARTD’Andre SwiftSIT
Tutu AtwellSITRoschon JohnsonSIT
Tyler JohnsonSITDJ MooreSTART
Demarcus RobinsonSITKeenan AllenSIT
Colby ParkinsonSITRome OdunzeSTART
Cole KmetSTART

Minnesota at Green Bay (-3) 

O/U: 43.5

Jakar’s Pick: Minnesota (28-27)

MinnesotaStart/SitGreen BayStart/Sit
Sam DarnoldSTARTJordan LoveSTART
Aaron JonesSTARTJosh JacobsSTART
Ty ChandlerSITJayden ReedSTART
Justin JeffersonSTARTChristian WatsonSIT
Jordan AddisonSITRomeo DoubsSIT
Jalen NailorSITDontayvion WicksSIT
Josh OliverSITTucker KraftSIT
Luke MusgraveSIT

Pittsburgh (-1.5) at Indianapolis 

O/U: 40.5

Jakar’s Pick: Pittsburgh (17-14)

PittsburghStart/SitIndianapolisStart/Sit
Justin FieldsSTARTAnthony RichardsonSTART
Najee HarrisSTARTJonathan TaylorSTART
Jaylen WarrenSITMichael Pittman Jr.SIT
George PickensSTARTAlec PierceSTART
Van JeffersonSITAdonai MitchellSIT
Pat FreiermuthSITJosh DownsSIT
Kylen GransonSIT

Denver at New York (-7.5) 

O/U: 39.5

Jakar’s Pick: New York (21-10)

DenverStart/SitNew YorkStart/Sit
Bo NixSITAaron RodgersSTART
Javonte WilliamsSITBreece HallSTART
Jaleel McLaughlinSITBraelon AllenSIT
Courtland SuttonSITGarrett WilsonSTART
Josh ReynoldsSITMike WilliamsSIT
Greg DulcichSITAllen LazardSIT
Tyler ConklinSIT

Philadelphia (-2) at Tampa Bay 

O/U: 43.5

Jakar’s Pick: Tampa Bay (21-17)

PhiladelphiaStart/SitTampa BayStart/Sit
Jalen HurtsSTARTBaker MayfieldSTART
Saquon BarkleySTARTRachaad WhiteSIT
Johnny WilsonSITBucky IrvingSIT
Jahan DotsonSITMike EvansSTART
Parris CambellSITChris GodwinSTART
Dallas GoedertSITJalen McMillanSIT
Cade OttonSIT

Cincinnati (-4.5) at Carolina 

O/U: 46.5

Jakar’s Pick: Cincinnati (24-17)

CincinnatiStart/SitCarolinaStart/Sit
Joe BurrowSTARTAndy DaltonSTART
Zack MossSTARTChuba HubbardSTART
Chase BrownSITDiontae JohnsonSTART
Ja’Marr ChaseSTARTXavier LegetteSIT
Tee HigginsSTARTJonathan MingoSIT
Andrei IosivasSITTommy TrembleSIT
Mike GesickiSIT

Jacksonville at Houston (-6) 

O/U: 45.5

Jakar’s Pick: Houston (24-14)

JacksonvilleStart/SitHoustonStart/Sit
Trevor LawrenceSITCJ StroudSTART
Travis Etienne Jr.STARTJoe Mixon*START
Brian Thomas Jr.STARTCam AkersSIT
Christian KirkSITNico CollinsSTART
Gabe Davis SITTank Dell*SIT
Brenton StrangeSITStefon DiggsSTART
Dalton SchultzSIT

Washington at Arizona (-3.5) 

O/U: 50.5

Jakar’s Pick: Arizona (35-31)

WashingtonStart/SitArizonaStart/Sit
Jayden DanielsSTARTKyler MurraySTART
Brian Robinson Jr.STARTJames ConnerSTART
Terry McLaurinSTARTMarvin Harrison Jr.START
Olamide ZaccheusSITMichael WilsonSIT
Noah BrownSITGreg DortchSIT
Zach ErtzSITElijah Higgins*SIT

New England at San Francisco (-10)

O/U: 40.5

Jakar’s Pick: San Francisco (27-14)

New EnglandStart/SitSan FranciscoStart/Sit
Jacoby BrissettSITBrock PurdySTART
Rhamondre StevensonSTARTJordan MasonSTART
Antonio GibsonSITBrandon AiyukSTART
Ja’Lynn PolkSITJauan JenningsSTART
Demario DouglasSTARTGeorge KittleSTART
Hunter HenrySIT
Austin HooperSIT

Cleveland at Las Vegas (-2) 

O/U: 36.5

Jakar’s Pick: Las Vegas (17-13)

ClevelandStart/SitLas VegasStart/Sit
Deshaun WatsonSITGardner MinshewSIT
Jerome FordSTARTZamir WhiteSIT
D’Onta ForemanSITAlexander MattisonSIT
Amari CooperSTARTDavante AdamsSTART
Jerry JeudySITJakobi MeyersSIT
Jordan AkinsSITBrock BowersSTART

Kansas City (-7) at Los Angeles 

O/U: 39.5

Jakar’s Pick: Kansas City (24-15)

Kansas CityStart/SitLos AngelesStart/Sit
Patrick MahomesSTARTJustin HerbertSTART
Carson SteeleSTARTJK DobbinsSTART
Samaje PerineSITGus EdwardsSIT
Rashee RiceSTARTQuentin JohnstonSIT
Xavier WorthySITLadd McConkeySIT
Travis KelceSTART

Buffalo at Baltimore (-2.5) 

O/U: 46.5

Jakar’s Pick: Buffalo (28-24)

BuffaloStart/SitBaltimoreStart/Sit
Josh AllenSTARTLamar JacksonSTART
James CookSTARTDerrick HenrySTART
Keon ColemanSITJustice HillSIT
Khalil ShakirSTARTZay FlowersSTART
Curtis SamuelSITRashod BatemanSIT
Dalton KincaidSTARTMark AndrewsSIT
Isaiah LikelySIT

Monday, September 30th

Tennessee at Miami (-1) 

O/U: 36.5

Jakar’s Pick: Miami (20-17)

TennesseeStart/SitMiamiStart/Sit
Will LevisSITSkylar ThompsonSIT
Tony PollardSTARTDe’Von AchaneSTART
Tyjae SpearsSITRaheem Mostert*SIT
Calvin RidleySTARTTyreek HillSTART
DeAndre HopkinsSITJaylen WaddleSIT
Tyler BoydSITJonnu SmithSIT
Chig OkonkwoSIT

Seattle at Detroit (-3.5) 

O/U: 45.5

Jakar’s Pick: Detroit (24-21)

SeattleStart/SitDetroitStart/Sit
Geno SmithSTARTJared GoffSTART
Kenneth Walker III*STARTDavid MontgomerySTART
Zach CharbonnetSITJahmyr GibbsSTART
DK MetcalfSTARTAmon-Ra St. BrownSTART
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSTARTJameson WilliamsSIT
Tyler LockettSITSam LaPorta*START
Noah FantSIT

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